Taking the figure from September 15 used by the Government advisers of 3,105 rising at a rate of seven percent means there would be 4,070 new cases by October 13, increasing to 9.166 new cases each day by December 29.
However, using the figure from September 21 as a starting point, cases would jump beyond 5,000 day by October 5 and would reach 11,263 new cases a day by December 28.
Chris McCullough, CEO and Co-founder of Rotageek told Express.co.uk: “Any forecast has one truth – it will be inaccurate. However, the rise in cases is concerning and, unless the spread of the virus is curtailed, cases will rise fast.
“Could it be 50,000? Yes. Could we see far fewer cases in October, yes (and hopefully we do see fewer cases).
“The challenge for the government is to communicate the severity of the situation that we currently face. This is made somewhat harder by the government’s failure to share meaningful data with the public (for example on testing and on case numbers and hospital admissions).
“For the public, we have two options. Heed the warning and reinforce social distancing and adhere to the rules. Or, doubt the accuracy of the figures and continue life as we currently are.
“The former is definitely the correct stance. The latter, regardless of the veracity of the Covid forecast, places an unacceptable and unnecessary strain on our public services and the vulnerable in our society.”
